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Rand weakens after this week’s strong rally

Simon Osuji by Simon Osuji
November 16, 2023
in Finance
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The rand slid in early trade on Thursday against a buoyant dollar, slowly unwinding a rally that had sent the currency up more than 2% on Tuesday.

At 0632 GMT, the rand traded at R18.22 against the dollar.

The dollar was up around 0.1% against a basket of global currencies.

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The rand leapt on Tuesday after softer-than-expected US consumer inflation data boosted expectations that the Federal Reserve might be done with interest rate hikes.

But the South African currency struggled to firm on Wednesday despite better-than-expected local retail sales data.

“With limited key US data until the end of the month, the risk is that we just repeat the pattern seen after the good payrolls figure: global markets, and so the ZAR, slowly unwind the rally,” Rand Merchant Bank analysts said in a morning briefing.

Like other risk-sensitive currencies, the rand often takes its cues from global factors such as US economic data.

Andre Cilliers, currency strategist at TreasuryONE, said in a note he expected to see some consolidation and profit-taking given the scale and pace of the rand’s strengthening.

South Africa’s benchmark 2030 government bond was stronger in early deals, with the yield down 1.5 basis points to 10.190%.



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