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Most Gulf markets end higher on Iran ceasefire, US rate cut expectations

Simon Osuji by Simon Osuji
June 30, 2025
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Most Gulf stock markets closed higher on Sunday, rebounding to levels last seen before the recent Iran-Israel conflict, as a holding ceasefire and growing expectations of U.S. rate cuts lifted investor sentiment.

Saudi Arabia’s benchmark index advanced 1.2%, led by a 2.3% rise in Al Rajhi Bank and a 3.3% increase in Riyad Bank.

The International Monetary Fund on Thursday raised its 2025 GDP growth forecast for Saudi Arabia to 3.5% from 3%, partly on the back of demand for government-led projects, and supported by the OPEC+ group’s plan to phase out oil production cuts.

The world’s largest group of oil producers, OPEC+, is set to announce another big increase of 411,000 barrels per day in production for August as it looks to regain market share, Reuters reported on Friday, citing four delegates from the group.

Oil behemoth Saudi Aramco’s shares finished flat. Qatar stock index gained 0.8%, with almost all its constituents in positive territory, including the country’s largest lender, Qatar National Bank, which rose 1.2%.

Investor focus also shifted toward potential U.S. monetary policy easing amid speculation that President Donald Trump may replace the Federal Reserve chair early, fuelling expectations of a more dovish stance from the central bank.

The Fed’s decision affects monetary policy in the Gulf where most currencies, including the Saudi riyal, are pegged to the U.S. dollar. Outside the Gulf, Egypt’s blue-chip index closed 0.6% higher, with Commercial International Bank climbing 1.2% higher.

SAUDI ARABIA rose 1.2% to 11,203

QATAR added 0.8% to 10,768

EGYPT added 0.6% to 33,207

BAHRAIN gained 0.9% to 1,937

OMAN eased 0.2% to 4,507

KUWAIT advanced 2.1% to 9,153

(Reporting by Amna Mariyam and Ateeq Shariff in Bengaluru; editing by Clelia Oziel)

 



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