Bitcoin fund market premiums have turned negative, with data from CryptoQuant showing the 7-day EMA also falling below zero. This indicates that the market price of Bitcoin funds is now trading at a discount to their net asset value (NAV), indicating reduced demand for these products.
A negative premium reflects bearish sentiment or a lower appetite for exposure through funds. This is in line with recent data from Farside, which showed that spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced net outflows of $93.2 million on March 28, following ten consecutive days of inflows.
Previous CryptoSlate insights reported cooling investor sentiment and reduced demand for Bitcoin fund exposure. Such outflows contribute to the negative premiums observed in Bitcoin funds as selling pressure increases and market prices dip below net asset values.
The declining premium also reflects broader changes in the structure of the market. Arbitrage opportunities have narrowed as spot Bitcoin ETFs gain traction and become more efficient. This compresses premiums and pushes fund prices closer to NAV. In some cases, especially during periods of selling pressure, they dip below NAV and trade at a discount.
Retail interest, typically a driver of high premiums, appears to be fading. Institutional flows are more price-sensitive and less speculative, contributing to more stable or negative premiums.
