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Billions of Miles Later, We Now Know if Autonomous Cars Can Be Trusted

Simon Osuji by Simon Osuji
January 7, 2026
in Telecoms
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Billions of Miles Later, We Now Know if Autonomous Cars Can Be Trusted
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Autonomous vehicle (AV) development is entering a defining moment. As cities, regulators, and manufacturers push toward large-scale deployment, the question of safety remains the industry’s most complex challenge.

While AV technology continues to advance at rapid speed, the sector still faces a crucial barrier: proving that autonomous systems can operate more safely than human drivers in real-world environments. Simulation has accelerated AV research, but driving conditions in actual cities—packed roads, unpredictable human behavior, and thousands of risk factors—cannot be fully replicated inside a virtual model.

As the AV industry moves closer to commercial use, the need for real-world validation has become foundational to public trust, insurance models, and regulatory approval.

A new real-world credibility framework called Nexar Apex has been introduced, reflecting the shift in industry priorities. Rather than evaluating safety based on theoretical simulations or controlled testing tracks, Nexar Apex uses large-scale, real-world driving data to measure how autonomous systems compare to human driving performance. The platform draws on Nexar’s extensive mileage database to establish human-based behavioral standards, such as collision avoidance, reaction timing, and near-miss responses, offering a benchmark that mirrors how people actually drive.

This approach feeds a growing industry movement away from simulation-only assessment and toward what Nexar describes as “Physical Intelligence,” where safety judgment is grounded in real events, not probability estimates. By quantifying how an AV responds to everyday complexity—including construction zones, harsh braking, pedestrian unpredictability, and adverse weather—this model provides evidence-driven insight into whether a vehicle behaves more safely than a human operator.

Alongside vehicle evaluation, Nexar also introduces a City Readiness Index that analyzes how urban conditions differ. Because a mile in Phoenix does not resemble a mile in Boston, the index highlights geographic risk differences, enabling cities, insurers, and regulators to understand safety potential more clearly.

Together, these developments signal a shift toward data-verified safety standards that may influence how future AVs are evaluated, approved, and deployed.



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