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A reality check hits Africa’s richest country as it begins the year on a cautious note

Simon Osuji by Simon Osuji
February 18, 2026
in Business
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A reality check hits Africa’s richest country as it begins the year on a cautious note
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The South African Chamber of Commerce and Industry, via its economic sentiment index, recently revealed that January in the Southern African country began in relatively low spirits.

The group’s measure of sentiment fell to 131.4 in January 2026, from 133.2 the previous month, while averaging 121.7 in 2025, the largest average since 2013.

“Manufacturing, merchandise export volumes, and the number of new vehicles sold negatively echoed through the business climate,” the group disclosed in a statement on Wednesday.

The shortfall is against the backdrop of the previous fiscal year, which was often defined by its economic gains.

From an outstanding currency recovery to boasting a market that experienced exponential job growth, South Africa in 2025, although not without its challenges, recorded significant wins.

While constituting an interesting development, the South African Chamber of Commerce and Industry relayed that January figures shouldn’t be seen as too alarming.

Aerial view of Durban, South Africa. [Stock Photo/Getty Images]

According to Statista’s 2025 GDP comparison, South Africa’s economy was projected to be $410 billion, making it the continent’s largest, underscoring both its economic potential and the need to create jobs for millions of job seekers.

The nation is likewise projected to experience economic growth, estimated at 1.4% by the International Monetary Fund.

As seen on Bloomberg, the group stated that a more optimistic perspective is supported by a surge in tourists and rising share prices on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange, notwithstanding the decline.

“Tourism is a vital driver of economic growth, with every 13 international tourist arrivals supporting one job,” President Cyril Ramaphosa said in his state-of-the-nation address last week.

“Our tourism sector made history last year, recording the arrival of 10.5 million visitors,” the president added.

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