VAT Collections Remain Strong and Predictable
Fiscal projections show that VAT will continue to be one of South Africa’s most stable revenue sources, with collections expected to reach R521.4 billion in 2026/2027. This continued strength provides the South African Revenue Service (SARS) with the room to enhance administrative efficiency without resorting to tax increases.
Steady domestic spending has anchored VAT performance, reinforced by more disciplined refund oversight. Import VAT has softened as nominal imports decline, but the system overall reflects consistency rather than fragility.
Businesses can take some comfort in this. The VAT rate remains unchanged, while a clearer and more consistent enforcement environment is taking shape.
Threshold Increases Support Small Businesses and Reduce Administrative Pressure
A highlight of Budget 2026 is the long-awaited upward adjustment to VAT registration thresholds. From 1 April 2026, the compulsory VAT registration threshold increases from R1 million to R2.3 million. This is the first adjustment since 2009 and acknowledges the impact of inflation and economic shifts on smaller businesses.
The voluntary registration threshold also rises, from R50,000 to R120,000. This modernises the VAT entry point for new and micro enterprises and gives startups more room to grow before taking on full VAT compliance responsibilities.
Together, these changes ease the compliance burden on small businesses and help SARS focus its administrative resources on vendors with higher turnover and more complex VAT profiles.
It is a system improvement that benefits both revenue collection and business development.
Electronic Services: Key Area of Focus
As expected, electronic services featured in this year’s VAT discussion. The digital marketplace continues to expand, and the VAT rules need to keep pace.
Budget 2026 indicates that government intends to refine the way VAT is accounted for when foreign suppliers use intermediary platforms to reach South African consumers. Although the final legislative wording is still to come, the direction is clear. When digital services move through platforms, there must be certainty regarding who is responsible for accounting for VAT.
This evolution is not about placing new burdens on digital platforms. It is about keeping VAT rules aligned with modern business models and ensuring that suppliers and intermediaries understand their VAT responsibilities clearly. Software as a Service (SaaS) providers, subscription platforms, marketplaces, and online learning platforms should take this opportunity to review their contracts and VAT processes.
VAT Refunds Become More Structured and Data Driven
Revised VAT refund projections reflect SARS’ increasingly systematic verification approach. The result is a refund process that is more disciplined and, over time, more predictable for compliant vendors.
Vendors eligible for refunds can expect more detailed supporting document requests, sophisticated data matching across SARS systems and slightly longer processing times in higher risk sectors. These refinements are meant to protect both the fiscus and compliant businesses by ensuring that refunds are accurate and supported.
Where transactions comply with the VAT law, vendors that maintain proper documentation, well-supported reconciliations and technically accurate invoicing are likely to experience smoother and more efficient refund cycles.
Five Practical Steps Businesses Can Take Now
- Review VAT Registration Exposure
Businesses near the new R2.3 million threshold should assess how the change affects their obligations from April 2026.
- Reassess Digital Supply Chains
Businesses operating through digital platforms should review their VAT position, contractual responsibilities, and operational readiness.
- Strengthen Documentation Discipline
Vendors eligible for refunds should ensure that invoices, reconciliations and supporting documents are accurate and complete.
- Prepare for Deep VAT Reviews
Businesses with complex or multi-jurisdictional activities should proactively test their VAT approach.
- Adopt Technology in VAT Processes
Vendors should use stronger internal systems and data checks to match SARS’ analytics driven approach.
A Positive Moment to Get Ahead
VAT is entering a more structured and modern phase, marked by greater consistency in administration and verification. This creates a strategic opportunity for businesses to reassess their internal controls while the broader environment remains stable.
A focused VAT assessment can significantly reduce exposure, strengthen technical compliance, and ensure readiness for the refinements introduced in Budget 2026. Proactive correction is invariably more efficient and less costly than responding under audit pressure.
Now is the time to interrogate your VAT position and address weaknesses before SARS does it for you.
