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Hype & Forecasts Misled Me, But Is Hope Left?

Simon Osuji by Simon Osuji
February 15, 2026
in Business
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Hype & Forecasts Misled Me, But Is Hope Left?
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The XRP trick story has taken over the conversations at this moment, and also holders are doubting that the hype of earning explosive returns XRP tricked them out. To comprehend the XRP trick, one should refer to the fact that XRP reached its highest point of $3.65 in July 2025 and fell to $1.25-$1.90 in different major trading zones. The XRP hype cycle remains a stock of smoke and mirrors to many at the time of writing, with people questioning whether the XRP trick cashed in on regulatory optimism as a few major stages of the market took advantage of investor sentiment.

These speculations have led the pack in the XRP price prediction with analysts such as Geoffrey Kendrick projecting the XRP to go over to $8, and also sceptics who argue that the XRP is still playing the trick. The prediction for XRP in the year 2026 focuses on whether clarity will prevail over the fears as to why XRP will fail with a number of critical structural volleys. The debate by analysts on the XRP trick point to why not XRP going up triggers reevaluation of some of the most important expectations currently.

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Also Read: Breaking XRP Update: Ripple Joins Global Top 10 Private Firms

XRP Trick And Hype Cycle Forecast 2026 Risks

1000 XRP Could Mean Millions1000 XRP Could Mean Millions
Source: Watcher.Guru

Standard Chartered’s Target Versus Reality

By 2026, Geoffrey Kendrick had forecast XRP to be worth over $8, which is a 330 percent increase at the time of writing. This XRP price forecast was a buzzword. The XRP gimmick becomes clear when analysts examine performance at some of its major resistance points. XRP is down 7% year-to-date despite hype.

token trades around the $1.41 to $1.43 rangetoken trades around the $1.41 to $1.43 range
Source: CoinGecko

Spot ETFs attracted $1.3 billion since November 2025, yet price hasn’t followed demand. This feeds feeling investors were XRP tricked out by narratives not accounting for profit-taking involving various major structural factors at the time of writing.

Post-Lawsuit Reality

Investors expected the SEC settlement in August 2025 to unlock capital right now. Resolution transformed perceptions across several key frameworks, yet holders sold into strength suppressing gains. The XRP hype cycle promised clarity would mark a turning point through numerous significant shifts. This fuels concerns about why XRP will fail at the time of writing, and also why narratives haven’t translated to performance.

Evaluating the XRP trick through AI frameworks revealed limitations in forecasts across various major models right now.

Also Read: XRP Could Plunge To $0.75 to $0.85 After the $1 Meltdown

Hope If Adoption Scales

The RLUSD by Ripple is focused on the 685 billion market of remittance by forming partnerships as of the time of writing. Partnerships have been on the forefront in various main corridors. The question is a factor of whether scales of adoption or remain in pilots currently, in the context of some vital infrastructure buildouts. Why isn’t XRP going up?

Adoption is yet to come-but when it does, it would be high to individuals with tolerance to volatility. Be it that you were or were not XRP tricked out, the question remains, does Ripple turn wins into volume which builds demand via the different major networks? At the time of writing, the XRP hype cycle is no longer hot, and the markets are waiting to see evidence in several fundamental indicators. Adoption is the answer to why XRP will or will not work rather than predictions.

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