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XRP Holders Reality Check Sends Shockwaves Through Traders

Simon Osuji by Simon Osuji
January 5, 2026
in Business
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XRP Holders Reality Check Sends Shockwaves Through Traders
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An XRP holders reality check has dominated market discussion as we enter 2026, and roughly 70% of participants now expect the token to stay below $2 in the immediate term. BullRunners founder Nick Anderson highlighted this polling data from Gemini’s prediction platform just days ago, and it signals a shift from earlier optimism to acceptance of what looks like continued consolidation. Right now, XRP trades near $1.86, confined within a narrow range that has persisted through lighter holiday trading volumes and an absence of fresh catalysts that might drive price volatility in either direction.

XRP trades near $1.86XRP trades near $1.86
Source: CoinGecko

Also Read: XRP Will Reach This Price in 2026, Wall Street Says

XRP Price Volatility And Crypto Market Risks Signal Trading Uncertainty

XRP 2026
Source: Watcher.Guru

Poll Shows Reality Check For XRP Holders

Most people regard the unveiled Gemini poll numbers from Anderson as a turning point in terms of sentiment by XRP holders. The reality check arrived when about 70% of respondents reported they expect XRP won’t break the $2 mark by the time we enter further into the new year, and this indicates the market has increased its acceptance that an impressive breakout won’t materialize anytime soon. Investors who had been looking forward to an impressive late rally received this information as a wake-up call, and it shows that hopes have scaled back significantly over the past few weeks, as trading uncertainty around XRP has since taken control within the market.

Anderson indicated outside of XRP itself that turbulence in decentralized finance has been another element that has been informing sentiment in the recent past. Governance strains involving Aave followed concerns over the role of founders in buying tokens in a crucial vote over the ownership of key brand assets, and these incidences highlight persistent fears over disconnect between development teams and token shareholders.

XRP Prediction 2026 Hinges On Liquidity

Anderson suggested that without new inflows or decisive positive news, conservative expectations are likely to shape trading behavior as we move through the new year. Thin liquidity, he acknowledged, cuts both ways—while it can suppress momentum and contribute to price volatility for XRP, it also leaves room for sharper moves should buying pressure return unexpectedly. For the XRP holders reality check purposes, the poll serves as a signal that many participants are preparing themselves for stability rather than expansion in the immediate term.

Also Read: XRP Price Prediction: What Q1 2026 Could Look Like For Ripple?

The assessment from Anderson centers more on preparation rather than prediction, and it portrays a market that’s entering 2026 with caution as price volatility concerns, crypto market risks, and general trading uncertainty converge. The XRP prediction for 2026 outlook now appears to depend on factors that include sentiment shifts, liquidity conditions, and governance developments across the broader crypto market, and the XRP holders reality check data suggests restrained expectations will persist through at least the early part of this year.

Market Prepares For Cautious Start To 2026

What’s been interesting about this XRP holders reality check is how it contrasts with earlier optimism that was prevalent just weeks ago. The crypto market risks that Anderson highlighted—ranging from DeFi governance issues to stablecoin de-pegging events—have created an environment where XRP trading uncertainty seems to be the dominant theme. As XRP price volatility continues and liquidity remains thin during this period, the reality check for XRP holders might be exactly what the market needed to reset expectations heading into 2026.

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