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Dangote’s $20B refinery sources U.S. crude, raising questions on Nigeria’s output

Simon Osuji by Simon Osuji
June 7, 2025
in Business
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Dangote’s $20B refinery sources U.S. crude, raising questions on Nigeria’s output
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Following a prolonged back-and-forth between Nigeria’s national petroleum company, the Dangote $20 billion refinery, with a capacity of 650,000 barrels per day (bpd), has turned to the US crude oil market in 2025, sourcing West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Midland crude, a Bloomberg’s ship tracking data noted.

The refinery’s intake of American crude has risen to roughly one-third, almost double the proportion seen during its 2024 startup phase.

More notably, the surge in U.S. crude imports persists despite Nigeria’s status as Africa’s top crude oil producer and key OPEC member.

However, the country’s crude production capacity is limited, and it struggles to meet the Dangote refinery’s needs and broader national demands.

Critics argue that the factors behind Dangote’s crude reroute stem from concerns over logistics and technicalities.

According to Randy Hurburun, senior refinery analyst at Energy Aspects, technical advantages play a key role. WTI Midland offers higher yields of reformate and improved gasoline blending characteristics.

Additionally, the shift is a consequence of the recent downturn in Asian demand for U.S. crude, driven in part by ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions, which has made more Midland oil available on the global market.

As a further consequence, the refinery’s ramp-up has led to a tightening of Nigerian crudes, a Dangote spokesperson confirmed, noting that June’s crude intake will likely include an even higher share of U.S. supply.

To meet its crude requirements, the Dangote refinery has been importing significant quantities of U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil

Bloomberg added that the event would allow U.S. crude to gain a larger share of Dangote’s imports compared to Nigerian crude.

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Dangote refinery’s refining capacity

The Dangote Refinery, situated in the Lekki Free Zone near Lagos, Nigeria, has a designed processing capacity of 650,000 barrels of crude oil per day (bpd), making it Africa’s largest oil refinery and the world’s largest single-train facility.

The refinery, located near Lagos, began producing diesel and naphtha in early 2024, with gasoline output commencing in September.

As of early 2025, the refinery was operating at approximately 85% capacity, processing around 550,000 bpd.

To meet its crude requirements, the refinery has been importing significant quantities of U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil.

In June 2025, it booked approximately 300,000 bpd of WTI, and in July, it planned to import at least 5 million barrels, equating to about 161,000 bpd

Once fully operational, it is projected to meet Nigeria’s entire domestic demand for refined petroleum products while generating surpluses for export across Africa and beyond.

The image of Nigeria, a nation rich in oil, importing crude may seem ironic, but the Dangote refinery’s sourcing strategy highlights broader challenges in the country’s upstream sector, including underinvestment, theft, and operational inefficiencies.

In contrast, the U.S. shale sector remains agile and export-oriented, with competitive grades like WTI Midland offering technical and economic advantages for large-scale processors.

As Nigeria continues to reform its petroleum sector and attract new upstream investment, the success of the Dangote refinery could mark a turning point in reducing dependence on imported fuels – albeit fueled, for now, by American crude.

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