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4 Indicators Suggest the S&P 500 Index Could Head South

Simon Osuji by Simon Osuji
January 8, 2024
in Business
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4 Indicators Suggest the S&P 500 Index Could Head South
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The S&P 500 Index closed Friday at 4,697 points with a slight increase of 0.18% in the day’s trade. The S&P 500 Index is only briefly down from its all-time high of 4,793 points, which it reached this month in January 2024. The broader market experienced a significant surge of 24.2% year-to-date delivering handsome returns to investors.

Also Read: 30 New Countries Ready To Join BRICS in 2024, Confirms Russia

However, several indicators suggest that the market has peaked and could open the way for a downward trend. In this article, we will highlight the four indicators that suggest the S&P 500 Index could experience turbulence in the coming weeks.

S&P 500 Index To Experience a Downside?

us economy flag wall street debt ceiling
Source: ommcomnews.com

The U.S. stock market declined last week entering the red territory for two consecutive days. The drop was mostly initiated by Apple Inc., (NASDAQ: AAPL) as U.S. Treasury yields performed better than expected. Puru Saxena, the former founder of Money Management firms in Hong Kong explained that the S&P 500 Index is running out of steam.

Also Read: BRICS GDP To Reach 60% of the Top 6 Western Countries

Source: Twitter X / Puru Saxena

The analyst named four key indicators that suggest the U.S. markets including S&P 500 Index could be losing momentum. Firstly, stressed that the S&P 500 Index is now “rolling over from overbought position”, indicating that stock prices have spiked beyond their intrinsic value. The move points toward a price correction as investors will indulge in sell-offs and initiate profit bookings.

Also Read: BRICS: Morgan Stanley Downgrades The U.S. Dollar

Secondly, Saxena highlighted that the NAAIM (National Association of Active Investment Managers) is exceeding 100. The development indicates extreme levels of bullishness from active investors who are pumping and withdrawing money and enjoying profits. The move suggests that once the downward trend hits the market, active investors will stay away until the market stabilizes.

The “last hurrah” rally running out of steam?

– Rolling over from overbought position
– NAAIM reading > 100
– 80% of S&P500 stocks > 200-day ma
– Bond yields appear to be turning higher $IWM $NDX $SPX pic.twitter.com/8pLfy21sAY

— Puru Saxena (@saxena_puru) January 3, 2024

Thirdly, the analyst noted that 80% of the S&P 500 stocks are trading above their 200-day moving averages (MAs). The move signifies overextension, making way for a potential pullback of prices. Therefore, the S&P 500 Index remains in stick territory that could head South at any point in the coming weeks.

Also Read: BRICS: India Gets Reality Check, Ditching US Dollar Becomes Impossible

In conclusion, Saxena pointed out the U.S. Treasury bond yields rising higher, which could eventually elbow stocks. Higher yields mostly pull stocks down as Treasury yields provide better returns than the Wall Street market.

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